A Market bottom this quarter ?

This chart highlights a seasonal trend in the stock market over the past nine years . . . .


5 February 2025 · Wednesday

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Good evening, WeekendInvestor

Today’s Daily Byte

A good day, I would think. The broader market was moving up, while the frontline market remained stable. We haven’t heard of any other coercive actions from the US side on tariffs or anything like that in the last 48 hours. So, that’s a positive for India.

Today’s detailed video is going to be focused on different sectors, identifying strengths and weaknesses within them, and understanding how they can impact our investing.

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Mi NNF10

This 10 stock - monthly rebalanced portfolio is a popular strategy that invests in top 10 trending stocks from the Nifty Next 50 index.

Mi Evergreen

This is a large and mid cap portfolio (CNX200) rotational momentum strategy, rebalanced monthly. It has a fixed 25% allocation to Gold.

Likely Market bottom this quarter

A very interesting chart shared by Srikanth Matrubai highlights a seasonal trend in the stock market over the past nine years. The data suggests that from January to March, the market tends to witness a decline, followed by a strong recovery, often leading to an average gain of 20-30% later in the year. This pattern has repeated multiple times, making it an intriguing observation for investors. . . . .

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Will US Markets Thrive during Trump Era ?

A fascinating analysis by Lee Ballero tracks the S&P 500’s performance during different US presidential tenures. Over the last 100 years, there have been only four presidents under whom the market ended negatively. These include President Hoover, who faced the Great Depression in 1929, Roosevelt’s second term at the onset of World War II, and George W. Bush’s two terms, which saw a prolonged market downturn during the 2000s. Apart from these rare instances, nearly every other presidential tenure has resulted in positive stock market growth. . . . . .

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