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Nifty vs Gold : A 35-Year Chart Analysis

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Market Update - Thursday, 13 Aug
The Nifty 50 closed lower by 0.16%, remaining confined to a narrow price corridor. Over the past seven trading sessions, the market has lacked a clear direction, largely due to a lack of fresh news triggers or significant shifts on the crude oil front.


Other Market Triggers
On the Nifty heat map, positive movers included Shriram Finance, TCS, Eternal, Hindustan Unilever, ITC (moving up for a change), L&T, NTPC, Tech Mahindra, and Tata Motors.
Conversely, stocks drifting lower during the session were UltraTech Cement, Hindalco, Grasim, ICICI Bank, and Reliance Industries.
The Nifty Next 50 displayed a mixed picture. Upward momentum was led by Tata Motors Commercial Vehicles, Godrej Consumer Products (rebounding after yesterday's decline), Solar Industries, and a slight gain in Lodha.
On the losing side, mild declines were observed in Idea, Vedanta, Cummins, Motherson, Tata Elxsi, and Bank of Baroda. Overall, price action across major benchmark indices remained modest without big moves.\


U.S. Market Updates
In the previous US trading session, major benchmarks ended flat to slightly higher. The Dow Jones rose 0.26%, the S&P 500 remained flat, the Nasdaq gained 0.74%, and the Russell 2000 advanced 0.6%.



Have questions about our U.S. Strategy? Email us at [email protected]
What to watch next ?
Evaluating gold requires stepping back to analyze multi-year trends rather than focusing strictly on recent short-term pullbacks. Although gold has retraced from around 5,600 to 4,300, looking at the broader context from 2022 to 2024 reveals a significant rally from 2,000 to 4,385.

Based on a standard long-term expectation of 12% annualized returns, gold would typically be expected to trade near 2,600 or 2,700 over two and a half years, making its position at 4,300 an exceptionally strong performance.
The current price action represents a consolidation phase following a major move up. If a continuation breaks out from this pattern, momentum could pick up rapidly. However, gold faces technical resistance near its 200-day moving average (200 DMA) and trend line.
With the Indian wedding season approaching, seasonal demand for gold usually increases, which could serve as a positive tailwind for the chart going forward.
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What To Read This Week ?
Nifty vs Gold: What the 35-Year Chart Tells Investors
There is an interesting way to compare the Indian stock market with gold. The Nifty-to-gold ratio shows how expensive or cheap Nifty is compared with Indian gold. Looking at nearly 35 years of data…..

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