Shocking Move in the Banking Space Today

Gold's Big Signal?

Market Update - Monday, 20 July

Overall, the Nifty index managed to limit its losses, closing down by 0.39%, primarily dragged lower by heavyweights in the banking space. Bank Nifty fell by 0.98%, while Nifty dipped 0.4%.

Other Market Triggers

  • The market heatmap displayed prominent red marks across major private lenders, including HDFC Bank, Axis Bank, and Kotak Mahindra Bank, all of which were thrashed badly, alongside Maruti, which gave up almost 2%.

  • Nevertheless, broader participation remained reasonably strong, particularly within the Nifty Next 50 heatmap, where PSU banks, Adani stocks, commodity names, and pharma companies posted solid performance.

U.S. Market Updates

Global cues were equally weak following a broad sell-off in US markets during the previous session. The Nasdaq was thrashed down 1.5%, while the S&P 500 dropped 1%.

Have questions about our U.S. Strategy? Email us at [email protected]

What to watch next ?

  • A notable tweet of the day focused on HT Media as a classic case study on narrative versus price action. Back in 2005, when HT Media launched its Initial Public Offering (IPO), there was significant excitement and hype surrounding its majority market share and strong readership base.

  • The prevailing narrative suggested that as India's economy expanded and education levels rose, newspaper circulation would grow steadily as more citizens wanted to read daily news. The IPO was marketed with immense promise and listed near 128 rupees. However, 20 to 21 years later, the stock sits at approximately 28 rupees.

  • This stark reality illustrates how price action provides far clearer guidance than corporate narratives. While narratives are crafted to sell investments, price action reveals actual entry and exit points.

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What To Read This Week ?

How Currencies Shape Gold's Global Correction

The Big Picture: A Tale of Two Currency Zones

Gold’s journey down from its All-Time Highs (ATH) looks vastly different depending on where you stand in the world. While headline charts in Western media often highlight a sharp drawdown, evaluating gold in local currencies tells a far richer story.

The primary driver behind this divergence is currency strength: strong fiat currencies exaggerate gold’s decline, while depreciating or heavily taxed currencies cushion the fall.

Developed Markets Take the Brunt of the Drawdown…

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