The WeekendInvesting Newsletter - 3 January 2024


28 December 2023 · Tuesday

Good evening

Investing in various financial instruments, such as mutual funds, small cases, PMS, or AIFs, offers the opportunity to earn substantial returns. However, it is crucial to understand that the performance of these investment vehicles does not solely determine your overall investment success. In fact, your behavior as an investor plays a significant role in achieving optimal returns.

Peter Lynch, a renowned investor, once shared an insightful story about the Magellan fund, which he managed from 1979 to 1990. Despite the fund delivering impressive returns of around 28% CAGR during those 12 years, the average Magellan fund investor only made less than 10% return. This revelation highlights the critical influence of investor behavior on investment outcomes.. . . .

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In recent times, there has been a notable shift in the mood of the market. This change can largely be attributed to the performance of the US markets, particularly the Nasdaq and the S&P 500. As we analyze the movement of the Nifty, one of the key indices of the Indian stock market, alongside the US markets, we can observe a significant correlation between the two.

If we examine the trends starting from October, we can clearly see the synchronization between the Nifty and the US markets. The chart . . . .

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In the current market scenario, we are witnessing a small intermediate downtrend. After the rally in November, profit-taking has started occurring, especially since the new year began where we were expecting more flows to come in. Despite this, the rally in December has preempted any significant sell-off, which means that even if there is a minor correction, it is not a cause for concern.

A potential point for the Nifty to rebound could be in the region of around 21,000 or 20,800. However, it is essential to mention that market conditions are dynamic, and we cannot predict with certainty if the market will keep going up or experience further corrections.

Over the past three days

Sectors of the Day are . . . .

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