Will we get 4 months red close in Markets ?

The key point here is about the rarity of . . . . .


29 January 2025 · Wednesday

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Good evening, WeekendInvestor

Today’s Daily Byte

Two more sessions to go before the budget. The market bounced today, which can be described as a relief rally for sure. We don’t know whether this is an intermediate bottom, a long-term bottom, or just a short-term bottom, but nevertheless, it’s a much-needed relief for soothing some broken nerves. Even a 5% rally in many stocks after a 25% drubbing will give you a sense of relief. That’s what has happened today.

However, I think one should not read too much into this, as if betting on it as the new leg up. It may well be, but it may not be. It will take some time before we can really say with any higher probability that the market has started to go up. So, this is just a reactionary dead cat bounce, you could say. Once the structure for the leg up is confirmed, only then will the probability of going higher become more reassuring.

Today, we will talk about some data points that will shock you and probably save you from all this volatility in the future.

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Will we get 4 months red close in Markets ?

This is a very interesting observation, and credit goes to stableinvestor.com for compiling such insightful data. The key point here is about the rarity of consecutive negative monthly closes for Nifty, and what history suggests about these patterns. . . . .

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This is the Power of the Mother Market !

This chart provides an insightful perspective on the performance of the US market (represented by the S&P 500) relative to the rest of the world (MSCI World Index excluding US stocks) over the last 50-55 years. . . . . .

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